Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 90.490255 103.231938 118.130146 137.101869 161.017080 1.907360e+02 231.425923
2024-10-20 73.818994 89.675115 110.167418 139.553045 182.407615 2.459963e+02 355.416267
2024-10-27 63.594534 80.084986 102.693300 137.617575 193.810793 2.888924e+02 487.247647
2024-11-03 59.195867 77.004477 102.785057 145.571520 221.697195 3.707243e+02 767.413681
2024-11-10 58.102562 78.146739 108.870606 164.049257 274.519184 5.357013e+02 1551.646212
2024-11-17 53.503165 73.309589 104.668299 163.665680 290.787388 6.327204e+02 2462.922566
2024-11-24 49.589208 68.991879 100.550059 162.325377 304.420409 7.368533e+02 4104.842084
2024-12-01 45.922185 64.638519 95.718674 158.487777 310.763770 8.268309e+02 6896.786089
2024-12-08 43.215735 61.554391 92.663074 157.576650 324.383704 9.646221e+02 15349.994654
2024-12-15 41.097260 59.225650 90.636679 158.392102 343.355891 1.161052e+03 64549.462916
2024-12-22 38.460890 55.795670 86.197940 153.053249 342.273898 1.257893e+03 413493.225134
2024-12-29 37.587506 55.293915 87.154498 160.185626 384.213963 1.735512e+03 NaN
2025-01-05 34.854664 51.546134 81.876898 152.535088 376.428354 1.865167e+03 NaN
2025-01-12 33.434024 50.029358 80.853641 155.343480 409.982261 2.589248e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 31.688689 47.774083 78.074788 153.076886 423.018777 3.231595e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 31.140714 47.629965 79.552928 162.424017 494.399930 6.159099e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 31.512270 49.207029 84.856983 184.301725 659.122744 3.159170e+04 NaN
2025-02-09 30.226572 47.524695 82.844689 183.845304 698.513934 8.676062e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 28.983476 45.832993 80.626418 182.251213 730.774599 4.573654e+05 NaN
2025-02-23 27.663209 43.904623 77.682980 177.693382 738.400536 1.670383e+07 NaN
2025-03-02 26.655407 42.527431 75.880611 176.612662 774.516380 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 25.840094 41.478387 74.739442 177.579873 832.261111 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 24.686502 39.688231 71.694094 171.255343 816.928532 NaN NaN